Quotation Beaujouan, Eva, Reimondos, Anna, Gray, Edith, Evans, Ann, Sobotka, Tomas. 2019. Declining realisation of reproductive intentions with age. Human Reproduction. 34 (10), 1906-1914.




STUDY QUESTION: What is the likelihood of having a child within 4 years for men and women with strong short-term reproductive intentions, and how is it affected by age? SUMMARY ANSWER: For women, the likelihood of realising reproductive intentions decreased steeply from age 35: the effect of age was weak and not significant for men. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Men and women are postponing childbearing until later ages. For women, this trend is associated with a higher risk that childbearing plans will not be realised due to increased levels of infertility and pregnancy complications. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This study analyses two waves of the nationally representative Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey. The analytical sample interviewed in 2011 included 447 men aged 18–45 and 528 women aged 18–41. These respondents expressed a strong intention to have a child in the next 3 years. We followed them up in 2015 to track whether their reproductive intention was achieved or revised. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTINGS, METHODS: Multinomial logistic regression is used to account for the three possible outcomes: (i) having a child, (ii) not having a child but still intending to have one in the future and (iii) not having a child and no longer intending to have one.We analyse how age, parity, partnership status, education, perceived ability to conceive, self-rated health, BMI and smoking status are related to realising or changing reproductive intentions. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Almost two-thirds of men and women realised their strong short-term fertility plans within 4 years. There was a steep age-related decline in realising reproductive intentions for women in their mid- and late-30s, whereas men maintained a relatively high probability of having the child they intended until age 45.Women aged 38–41 who planned to have a child were the most likely to change their plan within 4 years.


Press 'enter' for creating the tag

Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Human Reproduction
Citation Index SCI
Language English
Title Declining realisation of reproductive intentions with age
Volume 34
Number 10
Year 2019
Page from 1906
Page to 1914
Reviewed? Y
URL https://academic.oup.com/humrep/advance-article/doi/10.1093/humrep/dez150/5575324?guestAccessKey=1b33af25-7c87-4cb3-97ed-9824bd644d38
DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dez150
Open Access N


Beaujouan, Eva (Former researcher)
Evans, Ann (ANU, Australia)
Gray, Edith (ANU, Australia)
Reimondos, Anna (ANU, Australia)
Sobotka, Tomas (VID, Austria)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research areas (ÖSTAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
5404 Demography (Details)
Google Scholar: Search