Fischer, Manfred M., Huber, Florian, Pfarrhofer, Michael, Staufer-Steinnocher, Petra. 2018. The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the US: Evidence based on factor-augmented vector autoregressions. 12th World Conference of the Spatial Econometrics Association (SEA), Wien, Österreich, 11.06.-12.06.2018.
BibTeX
Abstract
In this study interest centers on regional differences in the response of housing prices to monetary policy shocks in the US. We address this issue by analyzing monthly home price data for metropolitan regions using a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) model. Bayesian model estimation is based on Gibbs sampling with Normal-Gamma shrinkage priors for the autoregressive coefficients and factor loadings, while monetary policy shocks are identified using high-frequency surprises around policy announcements as external instruments. The empirical results indicate that monetary policy actions typically have sizeable and significant positive effects on regional housing prices, revealing differences in magnitude and duration. The largest effects are observed in regions located in states on both the East and West Coasts, notably California, Arizona and Florida.
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Status of publication | Published |
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Affiliation | WU |
Type of publication | Paper presented at an academic conference or symposium |
Language | English |
Title | The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the US: Evidence based on factor-augmented vector autoregressions |
Event | 12th World Conference of the Spatial Econometrics Association (SEA) |
Year | 2018 |
Date | 11.06.-12.06.2018 |
Country | Austria |
Location | Wien |
JEL | C11, C32, E52, R31 |
Associations
- People
- Fischer, Manfred M. (Details)
- Huber, Florian (Former researcher)
- Pfarrhofer, Michael (Former researcher)
- Staufer-Steinnocher, Petra (Details)
- Organization
- Institute for Economic Geography and GIScience IN (Details)
- Research areas (ÖSTAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
- 1807 Economic geography (Details)
- 1810 Geographic Information Systems (GIS) (Details)