Quotation Plümper, Thomas, Neumayer, Eric. 2020. Lockdown policies and the dynamics of the first wave of the Sars-CoV-2 pandemic in Europe. Journal of European Public Policy. 1-21.




This paper follows European countries as they struggled through the first wave of the Sars-CoV-2 pandemic. We analyze when countries were confronted with the virus, how long it took until the number of new infections peaked and at what level of infections that peak was achieved via social distancing and lockdown policies. Most European countries were able to successfully end the first wave of the pandemic – defined as a two-week incidence rate smaller than 10 cases per 100,000 people. We find that countries in which the virus made significant landfall later in time enjoyed a latecomer advantage that some of these countries squandered, however, by not responding quickly enough and that an early lockdown was more effective than a hard lockdown.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Journal of European Public Policy
Citation Index SSCI
WU-Journal-Rating new MAN-A, VW-D, WH-B
Language English
Title Lockdown policies and the dynamics of the first wave of the Sars-CoV-2 pandemic in Europe
Year 2020
Page from 1
Page to 21
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13501763.2020.1847170
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2020.1847170
Open Access Y
Open Access Link https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13501763.2020.1847170


Plümper, Thomas (Details)
Neumayer, Eric (LSE, United Kingdom)
Institute for Sociology and Social Research IN (Details)
Research areas (ÖSTAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
5118 Political science (Details)
5325 Political economics (Details)
5912 Social sciences (interdisciplinary) (Details)
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