Disruptive money: Transition risks management in monetary policy and financial regulation and growth regime stability
Type Research Project
- The Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB) http://www.oenb.at/de/ueber_die_oenb/foerderung/jubilaeumsfondsneu/jubilaeumsfonds.jsp
Duration Sept. 1, 2021 - Jan. 31, 2023
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- Cahen-Fourot, Louison (Details) Project Head
This project aims at studying the socioeconomic effects of integrating climate and sustainability risks to monetary policy and financial regulation on prevailing socioeconomic patterns. The intuition motivating the project is that through directing investment towards low-carbon activities, a sustainable shift in monetary and financial rules could entail counter-intuitive disruptions in social compromises stabilizing the prevailing growth regimes in high income countries. These social compromises are historically based on cheap and abundant fossil energy fueling productivity gains that support income redistribution mechanisms and welfare-oriented states. The transformations in the growth regime induced by the shift in the monetary and financial system is likely to disrupt historical social compromises, potentially creating a new source of transition risk alongside economic and financial risks: social instability. The project will address these issues through four research questions: i) The institutional complementarity between monetary policy and financial regulation and other key institutions (e.g. the state, work relations etc) underlying prevailing growth regimes; ii) Where central banks and financial authorities actually stand in the integration of climate and sustainability risks management into monetary policy and financial regulation; iii) The longterm relations between key variables at the core of social compromises (e.g. the energyproductivity gains-income distribution nexus) that have stabilised growth regimes until now; iv) The potentially disruptive effects of a climate- and sustainability aligned monetary regime on these long-term relations and how to avoid or tame these effects.